A new N.C. poll conducted by High Point University found that President Barack Obama has a slight lead among the state's registered voters.
The survey, released Thursday, found that 46 percent of N.C. registered voters said they would now vote for Democrat Obama. Those favoring Republican Mitt Romney: 43 percent.
That's a reversal of the previous High Point University Poll, in early September, which found Romney ahead of Obama, 46 percent to 43 percent.
In the new poll, participants were also asked whether they approved or disapproved of the way Obama is handling his job as president. Forty-nine percent said they approved; 47 said they disapproved.
The margin of error in the latest poll: 4.7 percent.
-- Tim Funk
Friday, September 21, 2012
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65 comments:
Anyone who says they approve of the Obama policies is probably dependent on government and wants to maintain the status quo. No one who is working hard and trying to manage their way through this ongoing recession would have the same opinion.
Hoping that the 46% who approve of Obama will begin to do some investigating of Obama's record and recognize that his list of accomplishments is probably the shortest list of almost any president in our nation's history.
If the spread between the two variables is 3% and the margin of error is 4.7%, is it really prudent to state that one variable is "ahead" of the other?
Another ignorant comment. You are the status quo of republican voters today who don't think for themselves and just spew the latest rhetoric from a party that has lost its way and identity. I've been happily employed for years and pay more than my share of taxes and will be voting for Obama. Any other brilliant insight?
Anyone who says they don't approve of Obama policies probably can't admit they all used to be Mitt Romney's.
There is a built-in bias for Dems in these surveys. This is also "registered" voters= not "likely" voters. The bottom line is that between Obama losing even a little support of blacks (due to homosexual marriage support) and McCrory being so far ahead (coat tails), Obama has very little chance of winning NC. Dont' forget, during his high-water mark in 2008, he only eeked out NC by ~14,000 votes....
Sample size of 515 adults (448 registered voters) randomly dialed.
How many were Republican, Democrat and Independent and how many have voted in previous elections (likely voters)?
Might as well just ask everyone in the office who stopped by the coffee machine this morning, probably be just a scientific as this one.
#1) Just in case anyone wants to claim I am bias, I am a Democrat.
#2) I am not spending anytime putting too much thought into one poll from one source. While I am not aware of any Democratic bias in this particular poll, there will always be methodology differences in the polls.
#3) If you want a more comprehensive picture of the polls, you need to visit RealClearPolitics.com and FiveThirtyEight.com. They provide consistent, analytical data from dozens of polls.
btw, boy genius who wrote this:
"Anyone who says they approve of the Obama policies is probably dependent on government and wants to maintain the status quo. No one who is working hard and trying to manage their way through this ongoing recession would have the same opinion."
You realize the majority of the "47%" who are dependent on government are in the southern red states, right? Way to think that one out
The poll is garbage and the libs in the press know it. But it has to be if this is true of how President Liar handled the Libya Ambassador murder, blaming it on a video which we now now its not, or perhaps it is the rising unemployment in NC, or the yet again "unexpected" rise in jobless claims, or probably they just think this clown is cool because the day after Ambassador Stevens was mudered by Muslim Terrorists, he jet setted off to Vegas and this week he appeard on Letterman and partied with Jay-z featuring $800 a bottle champangn.
Or it could be this poll and its really really smart registered voters, not likely which I can garuntee you outweighed Dems by 6-8%+ as most of these phony polls have been doing just enjoyed hearing that Obozocare will hit 6,000,000,000 middle class families with a new tax, which is not a tax according to Preident empty Chair.
Or it might be the record high gas prices for this a year, yeah that's the ticket. Or maybe it was some of us just learned that another 1200 coal miners are losing their jobs this week thank to President Cowards EPA, is that it perhaps?
I got it, when he appeared on Letterman he didn't know who much the debt was, yeah that's the ticket.
Remind me again why you liberals are the smart voters?
Earlier Post: Anonymous said...
Another ignorant comment. You are the status quo of republican voters today who don't think for themselves and just spew the latest rhetoric from a party that has lost its way and identity. I've been happily employed for years and pay more than my share of taxes and will be voting for Obama. Any other brilliant insight?
Looks like the brilliance of your light bulb has dimmed considerably!!!
Why just last week he was stuck at 47%.
NC will be very close. In the end it won't matter because Ohio, Virginia, and probably Florida will go to Obama. Game over.
One thing's for sure...Obama sucks!
"Looks like the brilliance of your light bulb has dimmed considerably!!!"
Was that an attempt at an insult or a coherent thought? Dynamite response, definitely worth posting. Fail
Obama has ZERO shot at NC.....right that one down. Romney will win Virginia and FLorida as well. Ohio will be the linchpin....Winner take all.
"Obama has ZERO shot at NC.....right that one down. Romney will win Virginia and FLorida as well. Ohio will be the linchpin....Winner take all."
Man denial is funny to watch. Especially considering Obama has opened his biggest lead yet in every state you just mentioned and now is leading in NC too. But hey, theres always hope based....I dunno...whatever your basing those thoughts on lol
According to fivethirtyeight blog, Romney has 72.1% of winning NC .. I'm an independent voting for Obama and think that he has a shot .. he does have no shot in the following states: KS,ID,AL,WY,UT,NE,OK .. Romney has no shot in CA,NY,MD,IL
Ditto heads, things change. These are just polls people. They all start with "if the election were held today..." They don't account for the face to face exit interviews of a minimum wage African-American asking scientific polling questions to a racist white ala Ohio exit poll where nobody (not on the Internet) wants to admit they voted Bush again or any poll ever conducted against Jesse Helms all of which he lost, before landslide victories.
Come on people. You want accurate polls? Hire billionaire country club types like Mitt to do the calls. I'm sure Mitt will need a job come September.
The results are within the margin of error of the poll. That means the headline could just as easily read, "Romney ahead among NC registered voters". Bias is an ugly thing.
If you look at the president's RESULTS -- not the media gaffe game -- and believe he's done well, by all means vote for him. My view is that by any objective measure he should not be re-elected. But this is America and we don't need to villify one another based on our beliefs.
Poll is based on registered voters and not likely voters.
High Point University! That must be near Podunk University?
For the thousandth time, but I'm sure not the last since I just heard ol' Rushbo say the opposite...
A MOE (margin of error) in a SCIENTIFIC SAMPLING (random, often random digit dialing) of self reporting D's and R's (better than any list), based on population (done by area code and prefix down to county), calling all that pick up land lines(and not counting those oversampled in results) is an accurate slice of time in public opine.
After about 400 to 600 of those folks, you are just wasting money. The sampling and MOE changes none. 600 people say the same thing as 6,000 or 6 million. Do the math.
I know, you can't Rush did it for you. Except what he calls 'oversampling' is the biggest lie in the GOP partisan polling repertoire. There are more Democrats than Republicans in this nation and state. Fact.
Any poll that does not 'oversample' Democrats is scientifically not sampling at all. They are just being 'fair and balanced' to the minority of registered voters.
That 4, 5 or 6 percent MOE just means if we had conducted the same poll 100 times on the same day, we would get the EXACT same results 96, 95, or 94 percent of those 100.
You are all morons talking out of your ass if you think it means that one poll is off by the MOE.
obama blows
Does America and NC have a DEATH WISH ????????????
Why does this society award failure as in Obama in todays screwed up pc age?
And where is Obamas original birth certificate now that Romney has released his taxes? Wasnt that the deal or has he reneged?
Obama is big government and income redistribution.
Taking something from one while giving it to another and screaming "fair share".
"Fair share" is NO deductions and everyone pays the same flat rate on what you earn. That way, if you make $1K a year, you pay $100 dollars. You make a million, you pay $100K.
That's "fair share". Period.
Why anyone would vote for someone who has that mindset is unbelieveable to me.
If Obama is re-elected, consider America officially dead from its former glory.
We will be no different than Greece. Government will be the behemoth that will never be controlled again.
Link to Romney's taxes please?
Thank you in advance.
Why anyone would vote for someone who has Caymen Island tax cheat accounts is unbelievable (SIC) to me.
PS. McCrory called. And said you're an idiot.
And thank you.
URDumb's math lesson needs a little work...and is there anything worse than a condescending, foul-mouthed, self-proclaimed "expert"?
In English what this poll's margin of error means is simple: If this poll were conducted again with a different sample, the percentage favoring Obama is likely (95% chance) to be from 41.3% to 50.7%. (46 +/- 4.7). Those favoring Romney are likely to be from 38.3% to 47.7%. (43 +/-4.7). All this poll is telling us is that Obama may be ahead by as much as 50.7 to 38.3 or Romney may be ahead by as much as 47.7 to 41.3. In other words, it's pretty useless and any unbiased reporting would have called it a dead heat.
The Observer knows this, but publishes it as an Obama victory. Wonder why...
"Anonymous" sounds like someone from Robin HayesBeen POS polling. And a condescending, foul-mouthed, self-proclaimed "expert" that hates scientific polling.
ALL the polls now show our President ahead. There's a MOE and then there's just wishful thinking by hacks that want to sell Republican candidates more internal fundraising polls.
It's a trend all polls confirm. Get over yourself 'anonymous.' The MOE is something you tell a losing prospect like "NEW COKE" to sell more research. You and Gene Ulm know better.
But you remain confident. It's worked so well for Ann and Mitt thus far.
Great post. Care to address the fact that you materially misstated the significance of the statistics? (Sigh) just one more demonstration that Obama fanatics simply don't care about facts...guess that's the only way one could begin to stomach his record in the first place.
I tried to dumb it down for your voters and idols like Rush.
I actually know you know better, but choose obfuscation.
Enjoy your "tie" as you say.
"All this poll is telling us is that Obama may be ahead by as much as 50.7 to 38.3 or Romney may be ahead by as much as 47.7 to 41.3."
The same trend is across all polls. Tell me again who you'd rather be? Other than "anonymous" of course.
Forgive me if I don't use you as my primary source of national poll interpretation, considering you had no idea what this one said until I was kind enough to educate you. But I do agree with your point. All the national polls say the same thing: it's a dead heat statistically.
K. Full apologies for you making a giant ass of your anonymous self will be accepted on this blog from Tuesday November 6 at 11:59 pm until dawn. It really won't and hasn't taken that long to call this one.
Mitt may be a dork, but his wife should never speak in public again. Good luck with this week's news cycle apologist.
14.1 percent tax rate on a Friday news dump at 5:01? LOL. What are you guys, first timers?
Polls among "registered" voters are not as accurate as those among "likely" voters...this is probably a very skewed poll.
But the one from September using the same tracking methodology from the same folks that mysteriously showed Romney ahead wasn't skewed?
It's called tracking and trending people!
Willard is losing ground. Get over it.
OBAMA IS A MARXIST COMMIE LOSER TRYING TO MAKE AMERICA A 3RD WORLD LOSER NATION AND STEAL OTHERS ASSETS
GO BACK TO KENYA WHERE YOU WERE BORN YOU INCOMPETENT PIECE OF TRASH OR PROVE YOU WERE BORN HERE
THANK YOU MR ROMNEY FOR THE SOCIALIST CRIMINALS LOOK STUPID WITH YOUR EXCELLENT TAX RETURNS
NOW WHERE IS OBAMAS ORIGINAL BIRTH CERTIFICATE?
THAT WAS THE DEAL RIGHT?
ELECT MITT IN 2012
OBAMA SUXXXXXXXXX
Since you've now criticized my posting as "anonymous" twice, I guess it's safe to say your given name really is "UR DUMB". Your mother had tremendous prescience, Mr Dumb!
(Oops, momentarily forgot the intellectual level I was addressing. That means she could tell what would happen in the future.) If there was a minimum IQ voting requirement Obama's vote tally would be in low single digits.
http://washingtonexaminer.com/crs-report-number-of-able-bodied-adults-on-food-stamps-doubled-after-obama-suspended-work-requirement/article/2508430#.UFygILKcCSp
Face fact. Welfare president Obama wants America to lose its incentive to work and get a free welfare check and food stamps. He owns you then.
Obama is the real 47% president.
Romney is the 100% president.
It amazes me how truly stupid people can be, with some of the arguments they make for Romney. Obama is going to win, and I will thumb my nose at all you right-wing bigots.
Obama probably wont win NC because there are too many rednecks in this state. But it wont matter in the big picture. He is a lock to be re elected.
OBAMA BY 6-8 POINTS IN NOVEMBER!!!
stupid hillbilly republicans! heh heh heh heh heh heh heh heh heh
No link to the poll, no breakdown by party, not worth the time to... well, even post this in response to it.
For those who don't know, showing polls with a large percentage more Dems than Republicans voting (and often shortchanging independents as well) is an old problem with polls. They tend to make the gap smaller and thus more accurate as the election nears.
All true liberal supremist left wing radical extremist revolutionary socialist racist bigoted hate mongers without exception suffer psychosymatic bipolar sexual deviancies.
Violent criminals and sexual perverted homosexuals lesbians pedophiles etc are all liberal supremist suicidal homicidal hate mongering racist bigots and have one major common ground, they all unequivocably hate and abhor xianity but not pagan bogus religions like islam.
www.adherents.com/misc/hsk.html
www.practicalhomicide.com/Research/homoserial.htm
http://crime.about.com/od/history/tp/Child-Killers.htm
http://www.bookerrising.net/2012/09/black-pastors-we-reject-obama-on-gay.html
http://themuslimissue.wordpress.com/2012/08/11/muslims-burn-homosexuals-alive-in-cruel-execution-graphic-video/
Morman Mitt says what?
And he's going to win NC by way more than 14,000 this time. He may not win by as many electoral votes (like dufus McCain) but he's going to win. And I can't wait to see the pie in all of your faces. I'm going to be sitting and watching it unfold Election Night. I can't wait!!!! Obama/Biden 2012!
Romney 2012.
Perhaps North Carolina has decided that the nation isn't ready for a president who thinks it's a good idea to have airplane windows that open.
Obviously, a poll of what college students think. And with almost a 5% error pad. Why not ask your questions from someone that hasn't received government benefits? Or maybe even ask someone that has a history of voting? Other polls show Romney leading by almost double digits in NC.
I was called by one of the polls a week or so ago. I lied just to mess up the results because I'm tired of all the robocalls. These small sample polls are based only on those who are willing to answer the questions. So they are skewed to old folks starved for conversation and pranksters like me.
Man, you backyard yokles really represented your republican party well on this forum. You really displayed your intelligence and understanding of world issues :rolleyes: How embarrassing, no wonder you're voting for Mitt
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/09/24/American-students-hit-record-low-SATs
More great news for education
(SATS scores soared under Bush) welfare president Obama on his education front. SATS down nationwide for Mr Education, Mr Revolutionary, Mr Reditributionist, Mr Gumint ...
Forget all this socialist redistributionist Kenyans other incompetence and total failures with the 6 trillion added debt in 3.5 yrs a world record 10 times over and no wars. Is it all stashed in his Carribean off shore bank accounts or bogus retributions and for what?
Forget his foreign policy abject failures and Revolutionary government changeover failures plus dead American diplomats that has just begun that he does nothing about.
the failure list is too numerous to name ... no successes known .. other than DNC pep rallys ...
But what the hell, give him 4 more to screw it up double or triple again ... right?
SAve our country from the incompetent Obama regime.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nqd60hZU-FI&feature=youtu.be
Who was Obamas real communist father he emunlates?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2937560/posts?page=12
In Jay-Zs world race trumps all even failed socialism big govt?
Vote Romney 2012 - The 100% president for all races, religions, ethnicities, ideologies and political parties unlike Obama.
Republican National Party 2012 approved
I'm for Obama simply because so many stupid people are against him.
I respect the Presidentail Office but am wondering what has Obama done for me.
I do not want food stamps but want a decent job so I can provide for my family.
I do not want free insurance but quality care I can choose.
I do not want to loose my house value but be able to sell and move where my job takes me.
Obama has failed to help me.
This time I and my family and friends will NOt vote for Obama because he has not done anything for us.
Some people really do not have a clue because they are blinded by the facts. It is understandable why there are many people who do not want our president to remain president. They cannot stand the fact that a Black man is running this country. It goes against everything they were taught.
Great! Obama/Biden 2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/27/samuel-l-jackson-to-voters-wake-the-fck-up_n_1919317.html?utm_hp_ref=mostpopular
Real classy "wake the fuck up" youtube video from actor Samuel Jackson trying to intimidate voters.
Ya and before you go voting for Obama check this out,
"It should come as no surprise that President Obama will raise taxes if he is re-elected. But here’s the shocker: He will invite the United Nations to tax Americans directly. And the proceeds would go directly to the Third World. In this way, Barack Obama will, indeed, realize the dreams of his father"
So if O wins, not only will he raise taxes for here in the US but allow the UN to tax the US as well? Really?
The UN thing appears to be a quote Dick Morris on Fox News pulled out of his ass.
Which methons do you choose to get info for your fresh articles, which particular search resources or techniques do you regularly rely on?
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